President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have taken a significant hit in several key states he secured during the 2024 election, raising questions about his political standing as his second term progresses.
Recent polling data indicate that Trump is underwater—meaning more people disapprove of his performance than approve—in 15 states he previously won, including all seven critical swing states.
This development suggests potential challenges for the president and his party as they navigate future electoral landscapes.
With economic concerns, policy decisions, and public protests contributing to the shifting sentiment, this downturn in popularity could have far-reaching implications.
A troubling trend in swing states
The latest polls, as reported by Newsweek on June 21, 2025, reveal a stark reality for Trump: his approval rating is negative in every swing state that played a pivotal role in his 2024 victory.
States like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—once considered strongholds or competitive wins for Trump—now show net disapproval among voters.
This is a dramatic shift from earlier in his term when, according to Morning Consult data shared on social media platforms in April and May 2025, Trump enjoyed positive approval in many of these states, such as North Carolina (+9) and Georgia (+8).
However, by mid-June, those numbers had slipped, with Georgia dropping to +4 and Pennsylvania turning negative at -1.
This decline is particularly concerning for Trump’s political future, as swing states often determine the outcome of national elections.
Analysts suggest that dissatisfaction in these battleground areas could signal broader discontent with the administration’s handling of key issues.
The Economic Times reported on June 20, 2025, that Trump’s approval rating has hit a low of -6 nationwide, marking the sharpest drop in months.
This decline coincides with widespread ‘No Kings’ protests, where millions have expressed frustration over economic policies and political decisions across major US cities.
Factors behind the decline
Several factors appear to be driving Trump’s slipping approval ratings. Economic challenges, including inflation and job market concerns, have been cited as primary grievances among voters.
The ‘No Kings’ protests, as detailed by The Economic Times, have further amplified public discontent, with many Americans voicing concerns over perceived overreaches of executive power and dissatisfaction with legislative gridlock.
These protests have not only drawn attention to specific policy failures but have also galvanised opposition in both urban and rural areas, including in states Trump previously carried with ease.
Additionally, recent policy decisions may have alienated segments of Trump’s base. While specific policies are not detailed in the most recent reports within the last six hours, earlier coverage from Newsweek in May 2025 highlighted growing frustration over unfulfilled campaign promises in swing states.
This sentiment seems to have persisted, with AllHipHop reporting on June 22, 2025, that there are signs of ‘electoral fatigue’ among Trump’s supporters in the 15 states where his approval has plummeted.
This fatigue could indicate that even loyal voters are reevaluating their support based on the administration’s performance over the past few months.
Donald Trump’s return to the presidency in 2024 marked a historic comeback, following a polarising first term and a contentious period out of office.
Strong performances in both traditional Republican strongholds and pivotal swing states bolstered his victory in the 2024 election.
Early in his second term, Trump’s approval ratings, as tracked by Morning Consult and reported on social media in April 2025, showed robust support in states like Wyoming (+55) and West Virginia (+35), alongside competitive positives in swing states.
However, as his administration faced mounting challenges—ranging from economic recovery to social unrest—public opinion began to shift.
The importance of swing states cannot be overstated. These states, often decided by narrow margins, are critical to securing electoral votes in presidential elections.
Trump’s ability to win them in 2024 was seen as a testament to his enduring appeal among a significant portion of the electorate. Yet, the current downturn in approval ratings suggests that maintaining this coalition may prove difficult.
The fact that Trump is underwater in all seven swing states is a ‘shocking’ development that could reshape political strategies moving forward.
Implications for the future
The implications of Trump’s declining approval ratings are multifaceted. For the Republican Party, this trend could signal vulnerabilities in upcoming midterm elections or future presidential races.
If dissatisfaction persists in key states, it may embolden opposition candidates to challenge Republican incumbents or target Trump-aligned policies.
Moreover, a sustained negative approval rating could impact Trump’s ability to push through legislative agendas, as public support often influences congressional cooperation.
For Trump himself, these numbers may prompt a reevaluation of strategy.
Political analysts speculate that the administration might double down on addressing economic concerns or attempt to reconnect with disaffected voters through targeted policy initiatives.
However, the scale of public protests and the depth of disapproval—evidenced by a national rating of -6—suggest that rebuilding trust will be an uphill battle.
Regional variations and persistent support
Despite the overall negative trend, Trump retains positive approval ratings in some staunchly Republican states.
According to posts on social media platforms citing Morning Consult data from June 18, 2025, states like Wyoming (+41), West Virginia (+30), and Idaho (+25) continue to show strong support.
Additionally, Instant News reported on June 21, 2025, that Trump still enjoys favourable ratings in states such as South Carolina, Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, and Kentucky.
This regional divide highlights the polarised nature of American politics, where Trump’s base remains loyal in certain areas even as broader national and swing state support wanes.
Donald Trump’s approval rating struggles in key states he won during the 2024 election represent a significant challenge for his administration.
With negative ratings in all seven swing states and a national approval drop to -6, as reported by multiple sources, the president faces mounting public dissatisfaction fueled by economic issues and widespread protests.
While Trump retains support in some Republican strongholds, the loss of favour in battleground states could have profound implications for his political future and the Republican Party’s electoral prospects.
As this situation evolves, it remains to be seen whether the administration can address voter concerns and reverse this troubling trend. For now, the data paints a picture of a presidency at a critical juncture, navigating a deeply divided electorate.
Disclaimer: Portions of this article were generated with the assistance of AI tools and reviewed by the Invezz editorial team for accuracy and adherence to our standards.
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